Tropical Weather Watch this weekend, 10/19

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Ron Mc
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Tropical Weather Watch this weekend, 10/19

Post by Ron Mc »

borrowed from Tyler on corpusfishing
Tyler wrote:10AM Tropical Update from the National Weather Service. Get ready for more Coastal Flood Warnings for the beach by Friday. Surf fishing looks out for the weekend.

The National Hurricane Center has started Advisories on Potential Tropical Cyclone 16. Tropical Storm Warnings have been issued for portions of the Northern Gulf Coast.

***This system poses no direct threat to the mid Texas Coast***

Summary of 10 am Information

Location: 22.4 N 95.7 W or 140 mi E of Tampico Mexico
Maximum Sustained Winds: 35 mph
Present Movement: N 8 mph
Minimum Central Pressure: 1007 mb

Forecast:

The tropical disturbance in the western Gulf of Mexico is getting better organized and a tropical depression or tropical storm could form later today. Thus, the National Hurricane Center has started advisories on Potential Tropical Cyclone 16. The system was moving toward the north near 8 mph. A turn toward the northeast is expected this afternoon or tonight, and a northeastward motion at a faster forward speed is expected on Friday and Saturday. On the forecast track, the system will approach the northern Gulf
coast Friday and Friday night.

This system poses no direct threat to the mid Texas Coast. However we expect scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms over the offshore waters of the Mid Texas Coast Today through Friday morning. In addition, north to northeast winds of 15 to 20 knots with gusts to 25 knots are expected over the offshore waters Today through Friday morning with seas 4 to 6 feet. Conditions should begin to improve Friday morning.

South Texas Impacts:

Winds: North to Northeast winds 15 to 20 knots with gusts to 25 knots possible over the offshore gulf waters along the mid Texas Coast.

Rainfall: Scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms expected over gulf waters through Friday Morning.

Tides: Tides will continue 1 to 1.5 feet above normal (1 foot inundation, above ground level) through early next week. Water will reach the dunes during peak high tide.

Rip Currents: There is a low risk for rip currents today. A moderate to high risk for Rip Currents is expected Tonight, Friday and potentially through the weekend.

Next Update:

Around 4:30 PM Today
all the rain bands will be spinning our way
here's the wundermap
https://www.wunderground.com/wundermap? ... te=1&hur=1

you can follow Tyler's thread on corpusfishing for updates, especially if you're planning to fish this weekend
http://www.corpusfishing.com/messageboa ... 832#285832
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Ron Mc
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Re: Tropical Weather Watch this weekend, 10/19

Post by Ron Mc »

I'm topping this just so people planning trips for tomorrow get to see it.
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Ron Mc
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Re: Tropical Weather Watch this weekend, 10/19

Post by Ron Mc »

Ron Mc wrote:I'm topping this just so people planning trips for tomorrow get to see it.
what he said
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Re: Tropical Weather Watch this weekend, 10/19

Post by Neumie »

Tropical Tidbits is a good one follow: https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/
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Ron Mc
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Re: Tropical Weather Watch this weekend, 10/19

Post by Ron Mc »

Here's the National Hurricane Center 3-day graphic from 7pm tonight - it's heading NE as anticipated, and we won't have a storm watch after all, but I would expect some rain, wind and even higher tides.
ImageLocal weather hazard forecast
.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Isolated thunderstorms possible today.

A Coastal Flood Advisory is in effect through 6 AM Friday for
Gulf facing beaches south of Port Aransas as minor coastal
flooding continues this evening around times of high tide.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday

Isolated thunderstorms over the Coastal Bend Sunday. Isolated to
scattered thunderstorms over South Texas Sunday night and Monday.

Minor coastal flooding expected during the times of high tide
Friday through Tuesday.
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